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2向交易似乎很可能 – OCBC

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美国政府关闭增加了另一层数据和市场不确定性。过去的关闭通常与对避风港代理的需求相吻合,包括黄金,而价格较大,尽管结果可能会随关闭的期限而变化。 DXY最后一次见到97.78,OCBC的FX分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong Note。

每日图表上的轻度看涨势头逐渐消失

“The last shutdown in 2018 crossing over to 2019 (during Trump presidency 1.0) was one of the longest (over 30days) in modern history. And during that period, gold was up nearly 4%. USD/JPY, USD/SGD was down 1.5%; DXY was down over 1%. With US government in shutdown since 1 Oct, most Federal data will be postponed at least till government reopens. As per BLS, the payrolls data (原定于今天)可能不会发布。”

“ COT CFTC定位数据也可能会延迟,如果关闭持续时间更长,那么接下来的一周的美国零售和CPI数据可能会受到影响。但是,仍然可以使用私人和美联储调查数据(例如,ISM调查数据(例如,密歇根州数据集的UNI),以及Makets of Markets of Markets of Markets of Moarkers of Markets of Markets of Markets sefore for Marketers eful for Infiments for Infiment。在本周剩下的时间里,我们有威廉姆斯,吉尔斯比和杰斐逊。

“Thin market liquidity in Asia and absence of data releases in US may well see subdued activity or even amplify price action on any shocks and surprises. Mild bullish momentum on daily chart shows signs of it fading but RSI is flat. 2-way trades likely. Resistance at 98.00/40 levels (50, 100 DMAs, 38.2% fibo retracement of May high to Sep low) and 99 levels (50% fibo).支持97.60(21 dma,23.6%纤维),97.20。”



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